We should also note that while this review is over a decade old, a review of the literature did not reveal any new trials that would have impacted the conclusions of this review. None of the included trials reported harms or adverse effects associated with administration of antibiotics. The authors of the Cochrane systematic review themselves make a point to note that, “Adverse events, quality of life, and the economic impact of the intervention were not explored in the trials included, remaining important areas of uncertainty and requiring further data to establish an evidence‐based conclusion.” Furthermore, only 1 trial was placebo controlled, which introduces a significant risk of bias. Perhaps more importantly, as noted by the Cochrane review authors, the data for decreased mortality in the intervention group was not as compelling as it was for preventing infection. Many of the included trials were not powered to determine a mortality benefit. Furthermore, trial sequential analysis (a statistical tool used to evaluate the strength of results found during meta-analysis) found that the 12 included trials were not enough to produce a definitive conclusion regarding the survival benefit. This indicates that a large, high quality, methodologically rigorous randomized trial has the potential to trump the results of this review, as it may well generate results that are in disagreement with the results of this review (for all outcomes including infection rates). We would like to see a trial like this performed, and we believe that given the poor quality of existing trial data there is clinical equipoise adequate to perform such a trial.
The trials included in the meta-analysis suffered from various methodological limitations and therefore the produced evidence is subject to bias. None of the included trials were rated as low risk of bias. The heterogeneity for the mortality endpoint was low but it was significant for bacterial infection. Regardless of these limitations, as this review represents the best available data, and given the reported benefits of reducing hospital-acquired infections and the possible decrease in mortality, it seems appropriate to recommend this intervention in cirrhotic patients with upper GI bleeding. However, the adverse events associated with antibiotics such as allergic reactions, rash, gastrointestinal upset, clostridium difficile infections, antibiotic resistance, etc. should be balanced against these benefits on a case by case basis.
Based on the existing evidence, we have assigned a color recommendation of Green (benefits outweigh harms), as the reported benefits are significant and clinically relevant. As noted above, further data would be welcome to better characterize the degree of benefit, and assess any adverse events associated with antibiotic prophylaxis.
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