Given that the upper limit of the 95% CI for the reported relative risk of death (all-cause mortality) reaches 1 (possibility of equal risk in treatment and placebo groups), the survival benefit form systemic corticosteroids is not clearly established. This explains why we labeled this benefit “probable.” Future high-quality trials could swing the pendulum toward more robust evidence of benefit or lack thereof.
There is no universal definition of “standard therapy” for the treatment of COVID-19, so patients in the different studies received a variety of other drugs such as antibiotics, hydroxychloroquine, convalescent plasma, and other treatments that might have confounded the results.
A subgroup analysis in the RECOVERY trial suggested that dexamethasone, when given to nonventilated patients, reduced the progression to invasive mechanical ventilation. However, the Cochrane meta-analysis did not reach the same conclusion. Moreover, because none of the trials enrolled asymptomatic, mildly ill patients, or those who were not hospitalized, there was not enough evidence to conclude that corticosteroids decreased the progression of mild or moderate COVID-19 disease to severe disease.
Corticosteroids have potential side effects such as immunosuppression, increased risk of infection, hyperglycemia, increased risk of gastrointestinal hemorrhage, and impaired wound healing. However, most of the adverse events from corticosteroids are associated with chronic use. Regardless, most of the included trials either did not measure or did not report adverse events. It is thus not possible to comment on the magnitude of harm associated with this treatment in COVID-19 patients.
A subgroup analysis from the RECOVERY trial suggested that mortality was higher in the subgroup of patients not on oxygen who received dexamethasone. This difference was not statistically significant. Similarly, the Cochrane meta-analysis also performed a subgroup analysis that stratified patients based on the need for respiratory support at randomization. This subgroup analysis also showed a negative effect on mortality from administration of dexamethasone in the participants who did not require respiratory support. The difference was also not statistically significant. The findings of such subgroup analyses simply generate hypothesis for future trials and drawing conclusions from them is not appropriate.
Over 80% of the study participants were from high-income countries and there were no studies from low-income countries, which may limit the generalizability of these results. Lower-income countries may have limited hospital resources, such as hospital beds, supplies of medications and oxygen, equipment for respiratory support, and medical personnel, and therefore may not experience the same benefits of systemic corticosteroid treatment delivered in well-resourced hospital settings.
Since most of the studies included in the meta-analysis used dexamethasone, the benefits may not be generalizable to all systemic corticosteroids. Only one study compared different types of systemic corticosteroids (methylprednisolone vs. dexamethasone). There was no analysis comparing different doses (range = 150 to 5,000 mg daily hydrocortisone equivalents) or duration of corticosteroids (range = 0 to 20 days). It is thus unclear whether other systemic corticosteroids have the same impact on mortality as dexamethasone or if there is an ideal dose or duration of treatment. Dozens of ongoing and recently completed trials will likely generate additional evidence to shed light on these issues as well as additional data on safety, long-term survival, and other patient-centered outcomes.
All the trials included in the Cochrane systematic review enrolled patients from the beginning of the pandemic and prior to the widespread availability of vaccinations and the emergence of variants such as the delta variant, which has been shown to have increased transmissibility and decreased host immunity. It is thus unclear whether systemic corticosteroids demonstrate the same benefits in vaccinated patients, in those who are infected with different variants, or in those with breakthrough infections despite vaccination or prior infection.
Some uncertainty remains in regard to the survival benefit of systemic corticosteroids in COVID patients. In addition, while harms are unlikely from a short course of corticosteroids in patients with severe COVID (the current common practice), we are concerned about the lack of proper tracking and reporting of the harms. Therefore, we have assigned a color recommendation of yellow (unclear if benefits) for systemic corticosteroids in hospitalized COVID-19 patients.
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